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CFoncier Analytics

Modelling, scenario analysis and analytical workflow technology under development — cash-flow modelling, valuation, scenario and stress testing in a single, reproducible environment.

Analysis that can be reproduced, not just presented

Most financial analysis is still built in spreadsheets that are copied, emailed and quietly diverged. The numbers look authoritative in a committee pack, yet nobody can say with certainty which version produced them, which curve was used, or what would happen if a single assumption moved. CFoncier Analytics exists to close that gap between how analysis looks and how reliable it actually is.

The platform normalises historic financial statements, builds integrated projections, prices and stresses the resulting structure, and monitors the position after it is funded — all against one versioned set of assumptions. Every output carries the identity of the model, the data vintage and the analyst who ran it.

It is built alongside CFoncier Checker, our AML and CFT verification platform, so that counterparty integrity and transaction quality are assessed within a single case file rather than two disconnected processes.

Inside the application

A representation of the credit workspace: headline metrics, projected cash generation and the scenario matrix that accompanies every committee paper.

CFoncier Analytics — Credit Workspace
Run 7741 · curves pinned 12:00 ET

Internal rating

BBB−

Model-implied, analyst confirmed

DSCR (min, base)

1.42×

Trough in FY3

Leverage (net debt / EBITDA)

3.1×

Deleveraging to 2.2× by FY5

Equity IRR (base)

16.4%

5-year hold

Break-even revenue decline

−18%

Before covenant breach

Loss given default

24%

Secured, post-recovery

Free cash flow — 16 quarters

Base case
FY1 Q1FY4 Q4
Revenue CAGR68
EBITDA margin74
Covenant headroom46
Liquidity buffer81

Scenario matrix

ScenarioGrowthMarginMin DSCRAssessment
Base+4.0%18.5%1.42×Within covenant
Downside−2.5%15.1%1.18×Headroom thin
Severe−9.0%11.4%0.94×Breach in FY3
Rate shock +300bp+4.0%18.5%1.09×Headroom thin
Commodity −25%−6.0%13.2%1.03×Watchlist

Audit strip

12:04Assumption changed — capex FY2 +2.0mj.marin
12:02Curve set pinned — USD SOFR 30-Junsystem
11:58Statements imported — FY19–FY24 auditeda.ferreira
11:51Model version 4.2 approved for userisk.review

Illustrative interface — data shown is fictitious

Modules

01

Financial statement engine

Historic accounts are normalised into a common chart, adjusted for one-offs and leases, and reconciled so that every ratio traces back to a source line item.

02

Cash-flow and debt-service modelling

Integrated three-statement projections with amortisation schedules, covenant tracking, DSCR, ICR and headroom calculated on each forecast period.

03

Valuation

Discounted cash flow, comparable company and precedent transaction approaches run in parallel, with a reconciliation bridge explaining the spread between them.

04

Scenario and stress testing

Base, downside and severe cases are defined as parameter sets rather than duplicated files, so a change in assumption propagates through every case at once.

05

Asset and concentration analytics

Concentration, liquidity horizon and sensitivity analysis across asset classes, applied to the assessment of projects and counterparties under review.

06

Assessment monitoring

Indicators by counterparty, sector, jurisdiction and instrument type, with threshold events and analytical drift surfaced as dated records.

07

Market data integration

Curves, benchmark rates, FX and commodity prices are ingested on a schedule and pinned to each run so results remain reproducible after the market moves.

08

Reporting

Analysis papers, internal review packs and periodic reviews are generated directly from the model, removing the copy-and-paste layer entirely.

Design principles

One model, not forty spreadsheets

Assumptions live in a single versioned object. There is no question of which file was the final one, because there is only one, and every change to it is attributed.

Reproducible by construction

Every run pins its input data, market curves and model version. A committee decision taken last quarter can be re-run today and produce the identical output.

Transparent, not black box

Any figure can be expanded to the formula and the source line behind it. Nothing material is produced by logic an analyst cannot inspect.

Judgement stays with people

The platform ranks, projects and stresses. Ratings, approvals and pricing remain decisions of the responsible institution.

Who uses it

Transaction assessment

Assessing proposed transactions, testing capacity assumptions and reviewing documentation packages before conclusions are formed.

Internal review committee

Consistent, comparable papers across transactions, with the same metrics computed the same way each time.

Ongoing assessment

Periodic re-review of counterparties and projects under analysis, with early-warning indicators surfaced over time.

Risk and compliance

Independent validation, model-change review and evidence that decisions rest on documented analysis.

Register interest in CFoncier Analytics

If your institution would like to be considered for early access, or to discuss a specific analytical requirement, we are glad to hear from you. You may also explore our CFoncier Checker.

Contact us

CFoncier Analytics is modelling, scenario analysis and analytical workflow technology under development. Figures shown are illustrative and do not represent any actual transaction. CFoncier Analytics is not investment advice, portfolio management or a regulated financial service, and nothing on this page constitutes an offer of software.