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Quantitative Modeling

A practitioner-led course on building, testing and defending financial models — from data discipline and statistics through simulation, optimisation and independent validation.

Models that survive scrutiny

A model is only useful when someone else can reproduce it, challenge it and understand where it stops being reliable. Credit Foncier International teaches quantitative work the way it is reviewed internally: assumptions stated, data documented, uncertainty quantified.

Sessions are delivered by members of our analytics and risk teams. Techniques are built from first principles rather than invoked from a library, and every result is examined for the conditions under which it would fail.

The course is educational in nature. It does not constitute investment advice, does not recommend any instrument, and is not an offer of any financial product or service.

Enquire about a place

Curriculum

Eight modules across three levels, from data discipline through to model validation and backtesting.

01Foundation

Data & Model Discipline

Before any model is built: sourcing, cleaning and versioning data, documenting assumptions, and establishing the audit trail that makes a result reproducible by someone else.

  • Data sourcing, quality and survivorship bias
  • Reproducibility, versioning and documentation
  • Model governance and ownership
  • Common failure modes in financial data
02Foundation

Statistics for Markets

The statistical foundation that market work actually requires: distributions, estimation, inference, and why financial returns systematically violate the assumptions of introductory statistics.

  • Descriptive statistics and return distributions
  • Fat tails, skew and kurtosis
  • Estimation, confidence and sampling error
  • Hypothesis testing and its misuse
03Core

Regression & Factor Models

Linear and multiple regression applied to returns, factor construction, and the diagnostic work required before a coefficient may be interpreted as anything meaningful.

  • Ordinary least squares and its assumptions
  • Multicollinearity, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation
  • Factor construction and attribution
  • Reading regression diagnostics honestly
04Core

Time Series & Volatility

Stationarity, autocorrelation and volatility clustering, with ARIMA and GARCH-family models built step by step and tested against out-of-sample data.

  • Stationarity and differencing
  • ARIMA specification and selection
  • GARCH and volatility clustering
  • Out-of-sample testing and forecast error
05Core

Simulation & Scenario Analysis

Monte Carlo methods for valuation and risk: generating correlated paths, pricing path-dependent exposures and building scenario sets that a committee will accept.

  • Random number generation and convergence
  • Correlated paths and Cholesky decomposition
  • Value-at-risk and expected shortfall
  • Stress scenarios and reverse stress testing
06Advanced

Portfolio Optimisation

Mean-variance construction and its practical repair: estimation error, shrinkage, constraints and the risk-based approaches used when expected returns cannot be trusted.

  • Mean-variance frontier and its instability
  • Covariance estimation and shrinkage
  • Constraints, turnover and transaction cost
  • Risk parity and risk-budgeting approaches
07Advanced

Credit & Structured Cash-Flow Models

The modelling closest to our own lending practice: probability of default, loss given default, waterfall mechanics and the sensitivity of a facility to recovery assumptions.

  • PD, LGD and exposure at default
  • Scoring models and their calibration
  • Cash-flow waterfalls and coverage tests
  • Sensitivity to collateral and recovery assumptions
08Advanced

Validation, Backtesting & Machine Learning

How a model earns the right to be used: independent validation, backtesting protocol, overfitting controls, and a sober assessment of where machine learning helps and where it does not.

  • Train, validation and test discipline
  • Overfitting, data snooping and multiple testing
  • Backtesting protocol and performance attribution
  • Interpretability and limits of machine learning in finance

What you will be able to do

01

Build and document a model another analyst can reproduce

02

Select an appropriate technique and justify why alternatives were rejected

03

Diagnose a regression or time-series specification before trusting it

04

Run a defensible simulation and communicate its uncertainty

05

Validate and backtest a model against overfitting

Tools and delivery

Spreadsheet first

Every technique is built once in a spreadsheet so the mechanics are visible before any library is used.

Python for implementation

Implementation is taught in Python with standard scientific libraries. Prior programming experience is helpful but not assumed.

Real datasets

Published market and accounting data are used throughout, with all the imperfections that implies.

Written exercises

Each module carries a modelling task, read and annotated individually rather than scored anonymously.

Small cohorts

Groups are kept deliberately small so that each participant's work receives direct feedback.

Capstone model

The course concludes with an individual model, documented and defended in review, drawn from the participant's own field.

Common questions

If your question is not addressed here, write to us directly and we will answer it in full.

Do I need to be able to code?
No. Modules 01 to 03 require only a spreadsheet. Python is introduced gradually from module 04 and taught from the ground up for the tasks the course requires.
How much mathematics is assumed?
Comfort with algebra, basic calculus and introductory probability. Anything beyond that is developed within the course.
Should I take Options & Derivatives first?
It is not a prerequisite, but the two courses complement each other: derivatives supplies the instruments, quantitative modeling supplies the estimation and validation method.
Will the course give me a trading model?
No. It teaches modelling method, validation and honest treatment of uncertainty. It does not supply strategies, recommend instruments or constitute investment advice.
How long is the course?
Eight sessions delivered weekly, plus the capstone model. Expect three to four hours of work between sessions.

Request a place

Write to us with a short note about your background, your current modelling experience and what you intend to build. Places are allocated on a rolling basis throughout the year.